Nfl Player Prop Bets Week 2
- The Browns left the backdoor cover open Thursday night
- Get good value on Josh Allen's rush prop bet at BetOnline
- Cardinals tight end Dan Arnold is worthy of an anytime TD flier
Our Model’s Favorite Week 2 NFL Player Props. September 19mtrebby123SportsGrid. Entering Week 2 of the 2020 season, there’s a little more clarity on what to expect moving forward in the NFL. 3/3/21 12:00 AM. Cleveland Browns -260. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +350. New England Patriots +950. San Francisco 49ers +1600. Philadelphia Eagles +1600. Green Bay Packers +950. The 2020 NFL props season opened up in strong fashion — going 2 for 3 after Kirk Cousins just tripped over his passing yardage prop. The NFL boasts favorable spots for the offense on Sunday. Here are my best NFL player props for Week 2 at online sportsbooks. Make sure to check out our Weekend Betting Guide and some NFL betting tips before diving into all of the online sportsbooks.
If you’re a fan of the Cleveland Browns or wagered an uncomfortable amount of money on them to cover Week 1 at Baltimore, what a difference three days makes, eh? This isn’t the first time the franchise channeled its inner Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde and it won’t be the last. If you caught my Bengals-Browns Week 2 betting preview, the final pick, Bengals +6, was nearly dead on, save for the swing and a miss on the UNDER:
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The issues the Browns displayed on Sunday cannot, will not be rectified in three days … This could be an ugly game, but the only way I see Cleveland covering is if Chubb-Hunt combine for more than 200 rush yards and 3+ touchdowns.
Yes, Baker Mayfield and the Browns offense showcased all their weapons in Thursday night’s win, but defensive issues were not rectified as the secondary remains hobbled. Depending on your definition of “ugly”, this prediction could go one of two ways. Was it entertaining? Oh, yeah! However, both teams’ inability to score from inside the five, turnovers and just overall sloppy defense would be defined as ugly. And then there’s the two-head monster of Chubb and Hunt, who combined for, get this, 210 yards and four touchdowns. Hunt’s one-yard plunge handed Cleveland a 35-23 lead and short-lived ATS cover, but they left the backdoor open as Joe Burrow engineered a 16-play, 75-yard drive and score to cover the +6 and turn many NFL bettors into, well, Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde.
And with that, here are my favorite Week 2 NFL player prop bets featured over at online sportsbook BetOnline:
Josh Allen 55+ Rush Yards (+141)
A recent scientific sports poll (a.k.a. Twitter) indicated that many NFL fans believe Josh Allen to be one of, it not thee, most underrated players in the league. The mobile quarterback of the Bills fell on his face during last year’s playoffs, but bounced back with a strong Week 1 performance in a win over the Jets. Buffalo’s franchise QB rushed 14 times for 57 yards in the 27-17 win and cover. Allen faces a rebuilding Dolphins team this week and a defense that just allowed Cam Newton to rush 15 times for 75 yards in his Patriots debut. Allen rushed seven times for 56 yards at Miami last year and think he’ll post a similar number this Sunday.
Ryan Tannehill 251+ Pass Yards (EVEN)
This prop does come with some risk when you consider that Derrick Henry is the reigning NFL rush king and Tannehill doesn’t have a lot of brand name receivers at his disposal. My reasoning for backing the 251+ pass yards for the veteran quarterback has more to do with the Jaguars defensive efforts against the Colts Week 1. In his debut, Philip Rivers passed for 363 yards, while the Colts running back by committee was held to 22 carries for 88 yards. Now, Henry could very easily crack 100 rushing yards against the Jags, but if the secondary is begging to be torched, Tannehill could just as easily light the match. He passed for 249 yards at Denver last Monday.
J.K. Dobbins 51+ Rush Yards (+131)
Like fantasy football, prop bet management is all about matchup value. In this case, the Ravens running backs should eat well against the Texans this week. Houston allowed Chiefs rookie tailback Clyde Edwards-Helaire to rack up 138 yards on 25 carries. Now, while we know Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram are the top two run options within the Ravens offense, Dobbins did earn some burn last weekend. He finished with seven carries for 22 yards and two touchdowns. Perhaps, the rookie earns more touches this week after seeing what CEH managed opening night. If the rushing yards total doesn’t interest you, I’d definitely encourage checking out Sunday morning prop bet odds on a Dobbins anytime touchdown or even first touchdown of the game.
David Johnson 29+ Receiving Yards (-119)
Short and sweet reasoning here: Deshaun Watson desperately misses DeAndre Hopkins. With Baltimore blitzing to test the endurance of the Texans retooled offensive line, one would think Johnson sneaks out to the flat and enjoy some dump off passes as he did in the loss to the Chiefs. He caught three passes for 32 yards in that game and think Bill O’Brien will get him even more involved in the passing game this week, especially if the Texans fall behind in the first half.
Danny Amendola 6+ Receptions (+145)
The Lions slot machine caught five passes for 81 yards in Detroit’s Week 1 loss to the Bears. It doesn’t appear that Kenny Golladay will be healthy enough to suit up against the Packers. If that’s the case, Amendola should see the same number of targets. The Packers secondary allowed the Vikings to rack up 19 receptions and 259 receiving yards. Aaron Rodgers was in a groove against the Vikings and one would expect an offensive track meet in Detroit this weekend. This benefits Amendola backers and the OVER six receptions.
Russell Gage 53+ Receiving Yards (-115)
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Not yet a household name, the Falcons WR3, third wide receiver behind Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, Gage caught nine passes on 12 targets for 114 yards. The third-year receiver out of LSU has a tasty matchup against a downgraded Cowboys defense that lost talent to free agency and, more recently, injury. With so much attention on Jones and Ridley, Gage can squeak out a 60-yard stat line at Dallas.
Dan Arnold Anytime Touchdown (Flier)
Though they aren’t listed as of yet, the Dan Arnold ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN odds should be quite high, perhaps +1000-or-better and is worth the flier against the Redskins. Eagles tight ends combined for 11 receptions, 119 yards and two touchdowns against the Redskins last week. Arnold only saw to targets in the Cardinals win over the 49ers, but once Arizona reaches the red zone, expect Kyler Murray to look for his 6-foot-6 target.
Entering Week 2 of the 2020 season, there’s a little more clarity on what to expect moving forward in the NFL. There’s due to be some regression and breakouts in the second week, though, now that teams have what could be looked at as a glorified preseason game under their belts.
SportsGrid’s player prop betting model has highlighted some potential value bets for Week 2, so without any further ado…
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott
After an average performance in Week 1 against the Rams, Dak Prescott, and the Cowboys get a matchup that is just what the doctor ordered to get their offense going: a home game against the Atlanta Falcons. FanDuel has Prescott’s over/under for passing yards at 296.50, but SportsGrid’s model projects him for 320.56.
Atlanta struggled in pass defense in Week 1, with Russell Wilson going 31 for 35 for 322 yards and four touchdowns. The Falcons’ offense enabled the Seahawks to keep throwing, as Matt Ryan kept the pressure on Seattle by throwing for 450 yards with three wide receivers, each gaining over 100 yards. It’s reasonable to expect a similar kind of shootout involving the Falcons in Week 2.
With a game under their belt this season and three extremely talented receivers at his disposal, it’s fair to expect Prescott will come out slinging on Sunday at AT&T Stadium.
The Pick: Dak Over 296.5 Passing Yards
Eagles RB Miles Sanders
The Eagles played it safe with Miles Sanders in Week 1, and their inability to run the ball proved costly. Philadelphia decided to sit Sanders to preserve him for the long haul, but chances there will be a long haul will decrease if the Eagles start 0-2.
Sanders’ prop on FanDuel for combined rushing and receiving yards in 76.50, but the SportsGrid model projects him at 97.53.
Last season, including the playoffs, Sanders had at least 15 touches in eight games and surpassed 76.50 total yards in seven of those. Cowboys running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard were very effective against the Rams in Week 1. Elliott has 127 total yards, while Pollard gained 32 yards on four total touches.
The Eagles didn’t sit Sanders last week not to feed him, especially facing a potential two-game skid to start the season.
The Pick: Sanders Over 76.50 Total Yards
Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf
D.K. Metcalf’s over/under for receiving yards against the Patriots this week is 51.50 on FanDuel. SportsGrid’s model projects him at 64.19 yards, making him a strong play for Week 2.
Metcalf has gained at least 59 yards in each of his last four games, including two playoff games, averaging 98.75 yards per content with three touchdowns. There’s a reason for optimism that he’s going to break out in his second season in Seattle, and that could continue even against a stout Patriots defense.
In Week 1, Miami’s top receivers – Devante Parker and Preston Williams – each gained at least 40 yards but couldn’t crack 50. Expect a more competent offense to be more effective against New England, with Metcalf leading the way for Seattle.
The Pick: Metcalf Over 51.50 Receiving Yards
Titans WR Corey Davis
While Corey Davis has been a fantasy disappointment throughout his first two seasons in Tennessee, he has a golden opportunity to gain even more momentum in 2020 with a matchup against the Jaguars.
Davis’ over/under against the Jaguars this week is 50.50 receiving yards. SportsGrid has him projected for 60.31.
With A.J. Brown registering 39 receiving yards in the Titans’ Week 1 win in Denver, Davis stood out with 101. Brown will not play in Week 2 due to a knee injury, so Davis can further stand out.
While Jacksonville did get the Week 1 upset over the Colts, Philip Rivers still threw for 363 yards. Davis is going to be the top option for Ryan Tannehill on the outside in a home matchup against Jacksonville, so Davis rightfully provides good value to hit the over.
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The Pick: Davis Over 50.50 Receiving Yards