St Leger Horse Race 2018
- St Leger 2018 Horse Racing Betting Odds. The St Leger Stakes is the culmination of the William Hill St Leger Festival Day held at the Doncaster Racecourse.St Leger is the oldest of the five British classics and is held each September in Doncaster, marking the end of the summer in the UK.
- The first day of the St Leger Festival saw the recently retired Ted Durcan win the Leger Legends race on board Central City, who was having his first run for trainer Ian Williams. But Thursday is all about the ladies, the opening three contests are exclusives for fillies and/or mares and the 4.05pm is the Pro-Am Lady Riders’ Race.
- St Leger Horse Race 2018 Results
- St Leger Horse Race 2018
- St Leger Horse Race 2018 Schedule
- St Leger Horse Race 2018 Entries
The St Leger Stakes is the culmination of the William Hill St Leger Festival Day held at the Doncaster Racecourse. St Leger is the oldest of the five British classics and is held each September in Doncaster, marking the end of the summer in the UK. The race is the longest of all five Classics and the last one as well.
The St Leger Stakes attract a crowd of about 30,000 people every year and the most prestigious stables from all over the country as well. It is the climax of the four-day-long St Leger Festival and is just as much a social event as it is a prestigious race. The festival features fashion, music, and live entertainment while the spectators enjoy cold champagne under the brilliant sunshine.
The Prix Royal-Oak is a Group 1 flat horse race in France open to thoroughbreds aged three years or older. It is run at Longchamp over a distance of 3,100 metres (about 1 mile and 7½ furlongs), and it is scheduled to take place each year in late October. It is France's equivalent of the St. Leger Stakes, a famous race in England.
Besides the St Leger Stakes, the festival also includes the Champagne Stakes and the fast Portland Sprint. The St Leger Stakes is, however, the biggest attraction and the race all spectators are dying to see. Throughout the years, the race has seen big champions grace the field. This race is the final leg of the so-called Triple Crown events which start with the 2000 Guineas and continue with the Derby.
St Leger is open to 3-year old thoroughbred fillies and colts that run over a racecourse of 1 mile, 6 furlongs, and 115 yards. The inaugural race was held in 1776 but didn’t rise to prominence until around the 1800s, when a horse named Champion won the first double. Over time, the St Leger Stakes rose in popularity, eventually becoming one of the five Classics and evolving into the event we know today.
Last year, the race was won by Capri, an Irish thoroughbred racehorse who also won the Irish Derby. This year’s Stakes will surely offer plenty of excitement and fun, both from a racegoer’s and punter’s point of view.
SportPesa
With a load of sports you can bet on and great reputation, SportPesa has become one of the biggest names on the British betting market. Since arriving in the UK in 2014, the Kenyan bookmaker has managed to strike sponsorship deals with more than a few Premier League clubs which made it a household name. Featuring the best odds on the market and numerous sporting events, SportPesa’s dominance on the British betting scene will undoubtedly continue.
SportPesa includes a number of horse racing events including St Leger. The main favourite for this year’s Stakes is Kew Gardens. The Irish racehorse is being given odds of 10/3 before Latrobe with 13/2 and Wells Farhh Go at 8/1.
In the middle of the list, Rostropovich is given odds of 14/1, just like Delano Roosevelt. Proschema is at the bottom of the list with odds of 100/1, being given virtually no chances of winning the St Leger Stakes.
From a punter’s point of view, Kew Garden’s odds seem great. You’ll get 4 times your investment if the Irish racehorse wins, which is a nice payout. If you’d like to take a bigger risk, go for Latrobe or Wells Farhh Go.
Fun88
Fun88 is a fun and respectable bookie that has attracted thousands of new punters over the last few years thanks to sponsorship deals with Premier League clubs. Featuring numerous sporting markets, great deals for newcomers and loyal punters and some of the best odds in the business, Fun88 should definitely be on your list.
When it comes to St Leger Stakes, Fun88 favours Kew Gardens, giving this racehorse odds of 10/3. Next on the list is Latrobe with odds of 13/2, trailing far behind the Irish thoroughbred. Wells Farhh Go is third on the list with 8/1, coming right in front of Forever Together (10/1) and the duo of Southern France and Lah Ti Dar with odds of 12/1.
Nelson is somewhere in the middle of the list of St Leger favourites with odds of 22/1 which the horse shares with Mildenberger. Zabriskie is further down the list with 40/1, while Family Tree (80/1) and Proschema (100/1) are the ultimate outsiders this year.
Kew Garden’s odds for winning the race look great to us. Placing a reasonable bet on this racehorse will quadruple your investment, which is something every punter hopes for. So, either place a bet on the first favourite or go for some of the other racehorses if you’re brave enough.
SetantaBet
SetantaBet is a part of the major Setanta group, one of the biggest bookmakers in the world. The online bookie was launched in 2010 and has since become a favourite of thousands of punters in the UK and Europe. With great odds and a variety of sporting markets to choose from, SetantaBet is one of the best and safest bookmakers you can wager at.
Besides football, tennis, basketball, tennis, and even e-sports, SetantaBet also offers betting on horse racing and the St Leger Stakes. No surprises here – Kew Gardens is still the favourite with odds of 10/3, Latrobe is second on the list with 13/2, Wells Farhh Go comes third at 8/1 and Forever Together is fourth on the list of St Leger favourites with odds of 10/1. If you agree with the bookie that Kew Gardens has the biggest chances of winning the race, the 10/3 odds surely look great. If you think some of the other horses will win the Stakes, betting on them will bring you even more money.
If you’d like to try your luck with the longshots, Family Tree and Proschema are last on the list with odds of 80/1 and 100/1 respectively.
Marathonbet
Marathonbet is one of the veterans in the online betting market, having been around since 1997. They have operations in many European countries and are one of the most popular bookmakers in Russia. With more than 1,500,000 customers across Europe and featuring some of the best odds in the business, Marathonbet is one of the best bookies you can wager at.
Featuring a great variety of markets, Marathonbet offers punters the option to bet on football, volleyball, ice hockey, and horse racing among other sports. The St Leger Stakes is included as well – Kew Gardens is yet again the favourite with odds of 10/3, followed by Latrobe with 12/3 and Wells Farhh Go with 8/1.
Giuseppe Garibaldi, Nelson, and Knight to Behold are right in the middle of the list with odds of 20/1, while the last favourites on the list are Corelli, Brundtland, First Eleven, and Photographer with odds of 33/1.
Genting Bet
Known as a former sponsor of ex-Premier League club Aston Villa, Genting Bet is an Asian bookmaker that has expanded to the British online betting market in 2014. Genting Bet offers a number of horse racing events in the UK and Ireland as well as a variety of other sports. With great odds and markets, Genting Bet is truly one of the giants in the industry.
As a great horse racing bookmaker, Genting Bet features all the upcoming horse racing events including the St Leger Stakes. Kew Gardens is still the favourite, although this time with odds of 7/2. Latrobe comes on the second spot with odds of 6/1, before Wells Farhh Go with 8/1 and the trio of Forever Together, Southern France, and Lah Ti Dar with odds of 12/1.
There are more than a few horses somewhere in the middle of the list of favourites with odds of 33/1, including Zabriskie, Sevenna Star, James Cook, and Victory Salute. At the back end, Proschema is once again the biggest outsider with odds of 100/1.
Kew Garden’s 7/2 odds look great for a major favourite, so if you were planning on wagering, we think the Irish racehorse looks like a solid bet. If you’re a risk taker, go with one of the horses below on the list – the risk is higher, but so is the reward.
St Leger Horse Race 2018 Results
Kikuka Sho (Japanese St. Leger) (G1) - Data Analysis
Stamina is key in final leg of Triple Crown
With the spring Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) and the summer Tokyo Yushun (Japanese Derby) behind us, all eyes are now on the final leg of the classic Triple Crown. A turf 3,000m distance is likely to be a first experience for the 3-year-old runners, and in the past, we have witnessed dramatic finishes with the horses and jockeys demonstrating great perseverance and tactics. Let’s now analyze some features shared by successful runners in this race from results over the last 10 years.
Prepare for a strong showing by unfavored runners
Looking at performances by runners over the last 10 years in terms of favoritism, we observe that “race favorites” achieved a Top 3 ratio of 80.0%. Meanwhile, runners backed as “2nd-5th favorite” struggled with slightly weak success ratios, while runners backed as “6th–9th favorite” produced nine Top 3 finishers and achieved a Top 3 ratio comparable to those backed as “2nd–5th favorite.” [Table 1]
Favoritism | Performance [1st-2nd-3rd-4th or lower] | Win ratio | Top 2 ratio | Top 3 ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st favorite | 6-1-1-2 | 60.0% | 70.0% | 80.0% |
2nd favorite | 0-2-0-8 | 0% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
3rd favorite | 1-0-2-7 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 30.0% |
4th favorite | 0-1-0-9 | 0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
5th favorite | 1-2-0-7 | 10.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
6th-9th favorite | 2-2-5-31 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 22.5% |
10th favorite or lower | 0-2-2-86 | 0% | 2.2% | 4.4% |
Watch for runners coming from the Kobe Shimbun Hai (Japanese St. Leger Trial)
Looking at performances by runners over the last 10 years in terms of their previous race, we find that 19 Top 3 finishers contested the Kobe Shimbun Hai (Japanese St. Leger Trial) as their previous race, and that this group also delivered the highest success ratios. At the same time, runners that contested the Asahi Hai St. Lite Kinen (Japanese St. Leger Trial) as their previous race only delivered a Top 3 ratio of 10.0%, below the 13.2% achieved by runners who appeared here from a 3-win class turf race. [Table 2]
Previous race | Performance [1st-2nd-3rd-4th or lower] | Win ratio | Top 2 ratio | Top 3 ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kobe Shimbun Hai (Japanese St. Leger Trial) | 8-6-5-51 | 11.4% | 20.0% | 27.1% |
Asahi Hai St. Lite Kinen (Japanese St. Leger Trial) | 1-3-1-45 | 2.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% |
3-win class turf race | 1-0-4-33 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 13.2% |
Sapporo Kinen | 0-1-0-1 | 0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Other race | 0-0-0-20 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Watch distance of recent races with a Top 3 finish
Looking at performances by runners over the last 10 years in terms of the longest distance for which a Top 3 finish was achieved in their two previous races, we observe that runners that finished in the Top 3 of a “2,400m” race (such as the Tokyo Yushun (Japanese Derby) or the Kobe Shimbun Hai (Japanese St. Leger Trial)) achieved the highest Top 3 ratio, at 41.5%. This group was followed by runners that finished in the Top 3 of a “2,200m” race (such as the Asahi Hai St. Lite Kinen (Japanese St. Leger Trial)). Runners that finished in the Top 3 of a “2,500m+” race produced zero winners and runners-up, but two third-place finishers (Yuki Soldier in 2012 and Gold Actor in 2014), both of which were backed as 7th favorites. This suggests we should be prepared for strong performances by runners that have achieved success in long-distance races regardless of their favoritism. [Table 3]
Longest distance | Performance [1st-2nd-3rd-4th or lower] | Win ratio | Top 2 ratio | Top 3 ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
1,700m | 0-0-0-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1,800m | 1-0-0-18 | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
2,000m | 0-1-1-22 | 0% | 4.2% | 8.3% |
2,200m | 1-2-2-25 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 16.7% |
2,400m | 8-5-4-24 | 19.5% | 31.7% | 41.5% |
2,500m or higher | 0-0-2-13 | 0% | 0% | 13.3% |
No such distance covered in two previous races | 0-2-1-47 | 0% | 4.0% | 6.0% |
Runners with most Top 3 finishes in previous three races are strong performers
Looking at performances by runners over the last 10 years in terms of the number of Top 3 finishes achieved in the previous three races, we find that 18 of the 20 Top 2 finishers (including 10 winners) finished in the Top 3 at least twice in the previous three races. Runners with “three” or “two” Top 3 finishes in their three previous races achieved substantially higher success ratios than their counterparts with “one” or “zero” such finishes. Accordingly, it seems we should place a premium on runners that have finished in the Top 3 several times in the previous three races. [Table 4]
St Leger Horse Race 2018
Number of Top 3 finishes | Performance [1st-2nd-3rd-4th or lower] | Win ratio | Top 2 ratio | Top 3 ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
Three times | 7-1-1-29 | 18.4% | 21.1% | 23.7% |
Two times | 3-7-4-43 | 5.3% | 17.5% | 24.6% |
One time | 0-0-4-59 | 0% | 0% | 6.3% |
Zero times | 0-2-1-19 | 0% | 9.1% | 13.6% |
Seek out the winner!
Watch for finish in the Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas)
Looking at performances by the last 10 winners in the spring of the same year, we observe that five of the 10 winners had run in the Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) and also finished in the Top 3. In addition, for the remaining five winners (who did not run in the Satsuki Sho), if we look at their class at the end of April, we note that they were all in either the maiden or allowance classes: three maidens (of which one yet to make his debut) and two in the 1-win class. In other words, we would do well not to overlook allowance-class runners or those who had yet to make their first run at the time of the Satsuki Sho in the spring. [Table 5]
St Leger Horse Race 2018 Schedule
Year | Winner | Finish in Satsuki Sho | Class |
---|---|---|---|
2008 | Oken Bruce Lee | Not entered | Maiden |
2009 | Three Rolls | Not entered | 1-win class |
2010 | Big Week | Not entered | Maiden |
2011 | Orfevre | 1st | ‐ |
2012 | Gold Ship | 1st | ‐ |
2013 | Epiphaneia | 2nd | ‐ |
2014 | Toho Jackal | Not entered | Maiden (no previous race) |
2015 | Kitasan Black | 3rd | ‐ |
2016 | Satono Diamond | 3rd | ‐ |
2017 | Kiseki | Not entered | 1-win class |
St Leger Horse Race 2018 Entries
(Michio Kawano)